Bromley and Biggin Hill
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley and Biggin Hill | 33.3% | 24.0% | 22.9% | 8.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+12.9 | 24.3%−0.2 | 23.1%−0.2 | 10.4%−1.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 97,689 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 80.9% |
Current member
Peter Fortune · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 0.7 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 9.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Fortune Elected | Conservative | 15,929 | 34.1 |
| Oana Olaru-Holmes | Labour | 15,627 | 33.4 |
| Alan Cook | Reform UK | 8,203 | 17.5 |
| Julie Ireland | Lib Dems | 4,352 | 9.3 |
| Caroline Sandes | Green | 2,583 | 5.5 |
| Karen Miller | Other | 94 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Beckenham and Penge Labour, safe seat
- Orpington Conservative, safe seat
- Croydon East Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham East Labour, safe seat
- Eltham and Chislehurst Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated