Lewisham West and East Dulwich
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewisham West and East Dulwich | 49.8% | 22.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+25.5 | 10.4%+12.4 | 23.1%−12.9 | 20.4%−12.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 98,960 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 36 |
| Employment rate | 75.2% |
Current member
Ellie Reeves · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 39.6 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 27.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Reeves Elected | Labour | 27,406 | 59.1 |
| Callum Fowler | Green | 9,009 | 19.4 |
| Josh Matthews | Lib Dems | 3,558 | 7.7 |
| Christine Wallace | Conservative | 3,477 | 7.5 |
| Marian Newton | Reform UK | 2,234 | 4.8 |
| Gwenton Sloley | Other | 427 | 0.9 |
| Katherine Hortense | Other | 303 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Peckham Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham North Labour, safe seat
- Dulwich and West Norwood Labour, safe seat
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
- Bermondsey and Old Southwark Labour, safe seat
- Lewisham East Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated