West Ham and Beckton
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Other | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham and Beckton | 37.1% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+12.9 | 23.1%−6.6 | 5.0%+10.6 | 10.4%+5.0 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 140,177 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 32 |
| Employment rate | 71.6% |
Current member
James Asser · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 23.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 20.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Asser Elected | Labour | 16,434 | 45.2 |
| Sophia Naqvi | Other | 7,180 | 19.8 |
| Rob Callender | Green | 3,897 | 10.7 |
| Holly Ramsey | Conservative | 3,781 | 10.4 |
| Georgie David | Reform UK | 2,800 | 7.7 |
| Emily Bigland | Lib Dems | 1,606 | 4.4 |
| Kayode Shedowo | Other | 460 | 1.3 |
| Lois Austin | Other | 190 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Stratford and Bow Labour, safe seat
- Poplar and Limehouse Labour, safe seat
- Greenwich and Woolwich Labour, safe seat
- Leyton and Wanstead Labour, safe seat
- Bethnal Green and Stepney Labour, toss-up
- Hackney South and Shoreditch Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated