Hendon
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendon | 34.2% | 29.8% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+13.7 | 24.3%+5.5 | 23.1%−7.5 | 10.4%+0.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 131,691 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 68.6% |
Current member
David Pinto-Duschinsky · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 4.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Pinto-Duschinsky Elected | Labour | 15,855 | 38.4 |
| Ameet Jogia | Conservative | 15,840 | 38.4 |
| Joshua Pearl | Reform UK | 3,038 | 7.4 |
| Gabrielle Bailey | Green | 2,667 | 6.5 |
| Clareine Enderby | Lib Dems | 1,966 | 4.8 |
| Imtiaz Palekar | Other | 1,518 | 3.7 |
| Ben Rend | Other | 233 | 0.6 |
| Jane Gibson | Other | 139 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Chipping Barnet Conservative, toss-up
- Brent East Labour, safe seat
- Finchley and Golders Green Conservative, toss-up
- Brent West Labour, toss-up
- Harrow East Conservative, safe seat
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated