Sheffield South East
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield South East | 39.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+15.3 | 23.1%−5.9 | 20.4%−6.5 | 10.4%+1.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 105,370 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 66.1% |
Current member
Mr Clive Betts · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 34.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 22.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Betts Elected | Labour | 18,710 | 52.3 |
| Caroline Kampila | Conservative | 6,252 | 17.5 |
| Sophie Thornton | Lib Dems | 3,421 | 9.6 |
| Hannah Nicklin | Green | 3,158 | 8.8 |
| Jack Carrington | Other | 1,716 | 4.8 |
| Muzafar Rahman | Other | 1,453 | 4.1 |
| Matthew Leese | Other | 1,061 | 3.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rotherham Reform UK, toss-up
- Sheffield Heeley Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield Central Labour, safe seat
- Chesterfield Labour, competitive
- North East Derbyshire Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated