Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough

Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 40.7%
  • Green 17.2%
  • Reform UK 15.5%
  • Other 11.1%
  • Conservative 10.8%
  • Lib Dems 4.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Green Reform UK Other
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough 40.7%17.2%15.5%11.1%
National averageUnited Kingdom 24.3%+16.5 10.4%+6.8 23.1%−7.5 5.0%+6.1

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population111,610
Median age35
Employment rate63.8%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Gill Furniss · Labour

In office since May 5, 2016. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 36.2 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 23.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Gill Furniss Elected Labour 16,301 51.6
Christine Kubo Green 4,701 14.9
Aaron Jacob Conservative 4,069 12.9
Maxine Bowler Other 2,537 8.0
Will Sapwell Lib Dems 1,694 5.4
Mark Tyler Other 1,437 4.6
Jeremy Turner Other 873 2.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated