Sheffield Heeley
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Heeley | 42.1% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+17.9 | 10.4%+8.4 | 23.1%−9.6 | 20.4%−9.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 107,477 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 74.3% |
Current member
Louise Haigh · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 39.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 23.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Haigh Elected | Labour | 21,230 | 55.2 |
| Alexi Dimond | Green | 5,926 | 15.4 |
| Lorna Maginnis | Conservative | 5,242 | 13.6 |
| Rebecca Atkinson | Lib Dems | 3,863 | 10.0 |
| Helen Jackman | Other | 711 | 1.8 |
| Steven Roy | Other | 594 | 1.5 |
| Louise McDonald | Other | 482 | 1.3 |
| Mick Suter | Other | 398 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sheffield Central Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield South East Labour, safe seat
- North East Derbyshire Conservative, toss-up
- Chesterfield Labour, competitive
- Sheffield Hallam Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated