Sheffield Central
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Central | 40.9% | 32.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+16.6 | 10.4%+22.4 | 23.1%−15.0 | 20.4%−14.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 92,926 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 26 |
| Employment rate | 74.3% |
Current member
Abtisam Mohamed · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 26.1 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 8.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abtisam Mohamed Elected | Labour | 16,569 | 52.1 |
| Angela Argenzio | Green | 8,283 | 26.0 |
| Lucy Stephenson | Conservative | 2,339 | 7.4 |
| Sam Christmas | Lib Dems | 2,174 | 6.8 |
| Alison Teal | Other | 1,039 | 3.3 |
| Caitlin Hardy | Other | 656 | 2.1 |
| Isabelle France | Other | 409 | 1.3 |
| Annie Stoker | Other | 334 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield Heeley Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield Hallam Labour, safe seat
- Sheffield South East Labour, safe seat
- North East Derbyshire Conservative, toss-up
- Rotherham Reform UK, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated