Redditch
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 91%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redditch | 31.1% | 28.6% | 23.0% | 9.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 23.1%+8.0 | 20.4%+8.1 | 24.3%−1.3 | 10.4%−1.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 99,134 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 77.0% |
Current member
Chris Bloore · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 1.9 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 2.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bloore Elected | Labour | 14,810 | 35.0 |
| Rachel Maclean | Conservative | 14,021 | 33.1 |
| Julie Allison | Reform UK | 8,516 | 20.1 |
| Andrew Fieldsend-Roxborough | Lib Dems | 2,165 | 5.1 |
| David Thain | Green | 2,098 | 5.0 |
| Mohammed Amin | Other | 765 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Droitwich and Evesham Conservative, safe seat
- Bromsgrove Conservative, toss-up
- Birmingham Northfield Labour, toss-up
- Halesowen Reform UK, toss-up
- Birmingham Selly Oak Labour, safe seat
- Worcester Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated