Droitwich and Evesham
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Droitwich and Evesham | 35.8% | 27.6% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+15.4 | 23.1%+4.6 | 24.3%−9.6 | 10.4%+0.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 103,730 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 46 |
| Employment rate | 75.8% |
Current member
Nigel Huddleston · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 18.1 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 8.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Huddleston Elected | Conservative | 19,975 | 40.3 |
| Chippie Kalebe-Nyamongo | Labour | 10,980 | 22.1 |
| Sam Bastow | Reform UK | 9,456 | 19.1 |
| Oliver Walker | Lib Dems | 5,131 | 10.3 |
| Neil Franks | Green | 3,828 | 7.7 |
| Andrew Flaxman | Other | 239 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Redditch Reform UK, toss-up
- Worcester Labour, toss-up
- Bromsgrove Conservative, toss-up
- Tewkesbury Lib Dems, safe seat
- Birmingham Northfield Labour, toss-up
- West Worcestershire Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated