Reading Central
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Conservative | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading Central | 36.1% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+11.9 | 10.4%+8.5 | 20.4%−1.9 | 23.1%−7.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 116,859 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 35 |
| Employment rate | 88.3% |
Current member
Matt Rodda · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 27.9 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 16.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Rodda Elected | Labour | 21,598 | 47.7 |
| Raj Singh | Conservative | 8,961 | 19.8 |
| Dave McElroy | Green | 6,417 | 14.2 |
| Henry Wright | Lib Dems | 3,963 | 8.8 |
| Andrew Williams | Reform UK | 3,904 | 8.6 |
| Michael Turberville | Other | 227 | 0.5 |
| Adam Gillman | Other | 221 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Earley and Woodley Conservative, toss-up
- Wokingham Lib Dems, safe seat
- North East Hampshire Lib Dems, toss-up
- Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative, toss-up
- Henley and Thame Lib Dems, safe seat
- Wycombe Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated