Nottingham East
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham East | 43.2% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+18.9 | 10.4%+7.0 | 23.1%−6.4 | 20.4%−10.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 124,191 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 29 |
| Employment rate | 65.0% |
Current member
Nadia Whittome · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 41.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 25.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Whittome Elected | Labour | 19,494 | 53.6 |
| Rosemary Palmer | Green | 4,332 | 11.9 |
| Johno Lee | Conservative | 3,925 | 10.8 |
| Debbie Stephens | Reform UK | 3,578 | 9.8 |
| Issan Ghazni | Other | 2,465 | 6.8 |
| Anita Prabharkar | Lib Dems | 1,741 | 4.8 |
| Naveed Rashid | Other | 494 | 1.4 |
| Ali Khan | Other | 372 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gedling Labour, safe seat
- Nottingham South Labour, safe seat
- Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour, toss-up
- Rushcliffe Labour, toss-up
- Broxtowe Labour, toss-up
- Sherwood Forest Reform UK, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated