Norwich South
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich South | 35.4% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 10.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+11.1 | 10.4%+13.5 | 23.1%−3.0 | 20.4%−9.6 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 106,359 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 34 |
| Employment rate | 75.2% |
Current member
Clive Lewis · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 29.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 11.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Lewis Elected | Labour | 21,484 | 47.6 |
| Jamie Osborn | Green | 8,245 | 18.3 |
| David Thomas | Conservative | 5,806 | 12.9 |
| Graham Burton | Reform UK | 5,227 | 11.6 |
| Sean Bennett | Lib Dems | 3,577 | 7.9 |
| Linda Law | Other | 455 | 1.0 |
| Elizabeth Davey | Other | 301 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Norwich North Labour, toss-up
- Broadland and Fakenham Reform UK, toss-up
- North Norfolk Lib Dems, safe seat
- Waveney Valley Green, safe seat
- South Norfolk Conservative, toss-up
- Great Yarmouth Reform UK, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated