Norwich North
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 44%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich North | 32.8% | 27.2% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+8.6 | 23.1%+4.1 | 20.4%−1.8 | 10.4%+3.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 99,574 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 86.6% |
Current member
Alice Macdonald · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 23.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 5.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Macdonald Elected | Labour | 20,794 | 45.4 |
| Charlotte Salomon | Conservative | 9,944 | 21.7 |
| Nick Taylor | Reform UK | 8,229 | 18.0 |
| Ben Price | Green | 4,372 | 9.6 |
| Chika Akinwale | Lib Dems | 2,073 | 4.5 |
| Fiona Grace | Other | 353 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Norwich South Labour, safe seat
- Broadland and Fakenham Reform UK, toss-up
- North Norfolk Lib Dems, safe seat
- Waveney Valley Green, safe seat
- South Norfolk Conservative, toss-up
- Mid Norfolk Conservative, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated