Waveney Valley
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Green Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Green | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waveney Valley | 37.7% | 26.0% | 25.6% | 6.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 10.4%+27.3 | 20.4%+5.6 | 23.1%+2.5 | 24.3%−18.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 89,618 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 52 |
| Employment rate | 88.9% |
Current member
Adrian Ramsay · Green
Previous election (2024)
The Green Party won by 11.4 points.
Our current projection: the Green Party ahead by 11.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Ramsay Elected | Green | 20,467 | 41.7 |
| Richard Rout | Conservative | 14,873 | 30.3 |
| Scott Huggins | Reform UK | 7,779 | 15.9 |
| Gurpreet Padda | Labour | 4,621 | 9.4 |
| John Shreeve | Lib Dems | 1,214 | 2.5 |
| Maya Severyn | Other | 118 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- South Norfolk Conservative, toss-up
- Great Yarmouth Reform UK, safe seat
- Broadland and Fakenham Reform UK, toss-up
- North Norfolk Lib Dems, safe seat
- Lowestoft Reform UK, safe seat
- Norwich South Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated