Mid Leicestershire
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 14%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mid Leicestershire | 34.1% | 27.1% | 22.0% | 9.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+13.7 | 23.1%+4.0 | 24.3%−2.2 | 10.4%−0.5 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 102,392 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 83.5% |
Current member
Mr Peter Bedford · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 4.6 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 7.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bedford Elected | Conservative | 17,735 | 36.9 |
| Robert Martin | Labour | 15,534 | 32.3 |
| Tom Smith | Reform UK | 8,923 | 18.6 |
| Tony Deakin | Green | 3,414 | 7.1 |
| Ian Bradwell | Lib Dems | 2,444 | 5.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Leicester West Labour, safe seat
- Loughborough Labour, toss-up
- Leicester South Other, safe seat
- Leicester East Conservative, safe seat
- South Leicestershire Conservative, toss-up
- North West Leicestershire Reform UK, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated