Leicester West
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester West | 34.9% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 14.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+10.6 | 23.1%+0.7 | 20.4%−3.2 | 10.4%+4.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 127,820 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 33 |
| Employment rate | 73.0% |
Current member
Liz Kendall · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 24.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 11.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Kendall Elected | Labour | 15,798 | 44.6 |
| Max Chauhan | Conservative | 7,021 | 19.8 |
| Ian Hayes | Reform UK | 5,666 | 16.0 |
| Aasiya Bora | Green | 4,089 | 11.6 |
| Benjamin Feist | Lib Dems | 2,179 | 6.2 |
| Rahoul Naik | Other | 327 | 0.9 |
| Steve Score | Other | 317 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Leicester South Other, safe seat
- Mid Leicestershire Conservative, safe seat
- Leicester East Conservative, safe seat
- South Leicestershire Conservative, toss-up
- Loughborough Labour, toss-up
- Harborough, Oadby and Wigston Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated