Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Loughborough

Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 77%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 30.0%
  • Conservative 26.0%
  • Reform UK 25.1%
  • Green 11.5%
  • Lib Dems 5.2%
  • Other 1.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Conservative Reform UK Green
Loughborough 30.0%26.0%25.1%11.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 24.3%+5.7 20.4%+5.6 23.1%+2.1 10.4%+1.1

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population101,145
Median age36
Employment rate65.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Dr Jeevun Sandher · Labour

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 11.7 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Jeevun Sandher Elected Labour 17,249 40.8
Jane Hunt Conservative 12,289 29.1
Andy McWilliam Reform UK 7,204 17.1
Hans Zollinger-Ball Green 2,956 7.0
Ian Sharpe Lib Dems 2,561 6.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyLabour50%1.2-point gap
  2. Hertford and StortfordReform UK44%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative54%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated