Mid Cheshire
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 41%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mid Cheshire | 33.7% | 28.0% | 20.2% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+9.5 | 23.1%+4.9 | 20.4%−0.3 | 10.4%−2.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 95,182 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 41 |
| Employment rate | 84.6% |
Current member
Andrew Cooper · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 21.5 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 5.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Cooper Elected | Labour | 18,457 | 44.5 |
| Charles Fifield | Conservative | 9,530 | 23.0 |
| Emma Guy | Reform UK | 7,967 | 19.2 |
| Jack Price-Harbach | Lib Dems | 2,465 | 5.9 |
| Mark Green | Green | 1,967 | 4.7 |
| Helen Clawson | Other | 850 | 2.1 |
| Stella Mellor | Other | 273 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Tatton Conservative, safe seat
- Crewe and Nantwich Labour, toss-up
- Warrington South Labour, safe seat
- Chester South and Eddisbury Conservative, safe seat
- Congleton Conservative, toss-up
- Warrington North Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated