Meriden and Solihull East
Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meriden and Solihull East | 35.0% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 9.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+14.6 | 23.1%+4.5 | 24.3%−4.8 | 10.4%−1.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 100,008 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 78.6% |
Current member
Saqib Bhatti · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 10.4 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 7.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saqib Bhatti Elected | Conservative | 16,792 | 38.1 |
| Sarah Alan | Labour | 12,208 | 27.7 |
| Malcolm Sedgley | Reform UK | 8,753 | 19.9 |
| Sunny Virk | Lib Dems | 3,353 | 7.6 |
| Shesh Sheshabhatter | Green | 2,929 | 6.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Solihull West and Shirley Conservative, safe seat
- Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Reform UK, competitive
- Birmingham Yardley Labour, toss-up
- Coventry North West Labour, safe seat
- North Warwickshire and Bedworth Reform UK, safe seat
- Sutton Coldfield Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated