Macclesfield
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 35%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 32.8% | 26.7% | 22.9% | 9.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+8.6 | 20.4%+6.3 | 23.1%−0.2 | 10.4%−1.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 96,300 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 47 |
| Employment rate | 73.9% |
Current member
Tim Roca · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 17.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 6.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Roca Elected | Labour | 24,672 | 46.7 |
| David Rutley | Conservative | 15,552 | 29.5 |
| Steve Broadhurst | Reform UK | 6,592 | 12.5 |
| Amanda Iremonger | Green | 2,493 | 4.7 |
| Neil Christian | Lib Dems | 2,482 | 4.7 |
| Christopher Wellavize | Other | 779 | 1.5 |
| Dickie Fletcher | Other | 222 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Cheadle Lib Dems, safe seat
- Hazel Grove Lib Dems, safe seat
- Stockport Labour, safe seat
- Gorton and Denton Labour, safe seat
- Wythenshawe and Sale East Labour, safe seat
- Manchester Withington Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated