Leeds West and Pudsey
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds West and Pudsey | 37.4% | 25.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+13.1 | 23.1%+2.3 | 20.4%−5.1 | 10.4%+2.7 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 100,663 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 37 |
| Employment rate | 76.9% |
Current member
Rachel Reeves · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 32.2 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 12.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Reeves Elected | Labour | 18,976 | 49.3 |
| Lee Farmer | Conservative | 6,584 | 17.1 |
| Andrea Whitehead | Reform UK | 6,281 | 16.3 |
| Ann Forsaith | Green | 3,794 | 9.9 |
| Dan Walker | Lib Dems | 1,743 | 4.5 |
| Jamal El Kheir | Other | 633 | 1.6 |
| Darren Longhorn | Other | 404 | 1.1 |
| Sasha Watson | Other | 79 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Leeds Central and Headingley Labour, safe seat
- Leeds North West Labour, safe seat
- Leeds South West and Morley Labour, toss-up
- Bradford East Labour, safe seat
- Leeds North East Labour, safe seat
- Spen Valley Reform UK, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated