Bradford East
Westminster constituency · England · Yorkshire and the Humber
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Other | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford East | 31.1% | 22.9% | 21.3% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+6.8 | 23.1%−0.2 | 5.0%+16.3 | 10.4%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 120,544 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 32 |
| Employment rate | 58.1% |
Current member
Imran Hussain · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 10.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 8.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Imran Hussain Elected | Labour | 14,098 | 37.9 |
| Talat Sajawal | Other | 7,909 | 21.3 |
| Jacob Anstey | Reform UK | 4,952 | 13.3 |
| Aubrey Holt | Conservative | 3,450 | 9.3 |
| Celia Hickson | Green | 2,571 | 6.9 |
| Robert O'Carroll | Lib Dems | 1,910 | 5.1 |
| Mohammed Rahman | Other | 817 | 2.2 |
| Lara Barras | Other | 761 | 2.0 |
| Amer Rehman | Other | 683 | 1.8 |
| Richard Riley | Other | 65 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bradford South Reform UK, toss-up
- Shipley Labour, safe seat
- Bradford West Other, competitive
- Leeds West and Pudsey Labour, safe seat
- Leeds North West Labour, safe seat
- Spen Valley Reform UK, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated