Ipswich
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 71%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 30.8% | 26.7% | 22.6% | 11.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+6.6 | 23.1%+3.7 | 20.4%+2.2 | 10.4%+1.2 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 114,348 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 38 |
| Employment rate | 74.8% |
Current member
Jack Abbott · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 16.8 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 4.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Abbott Elected | Labour | 19,099 | 43.3 |
| Thomas Hunt | Conservative | 11,696 | 26.5 |
| Tony Love | Reform UK | 7,027 | 15.9 |
| Adria Pittock | Green | 3,652 | 8.3 |
| James Sandbach | Lib Dems | 2,241 | 5.1 |
| Freddie Sofar | Other | 205 | 0.5 |
| Terence Charles | Other | 151 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- South Suffolk Conservative, toss-up
- Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative, toss-up
- Suffolk Coastal Reform UK, toss-up
- Clacton Reform UK, safe seat
- Colchester Labour, toss-up
- Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Reform UK, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated