Huntingdon
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huntingdon | 32.2% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 9.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 20.4%+11.8 | 23.1%+0.4 | 24.3%−2.3 | 10.3%−0.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,470 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 79.7% |
Current member
Ben Obese-Jecty · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 2.9 points.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 8.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Obese-Jecty Elected | Conservative | 18,257 | 35.1 |
| Alex Bulat | Labour | 16,758 | 32.2 |
| Sarah Smith | Reform UK | 8,039 | 15.4 |
| Mark Argent | Lib Dems | 4,821 | 9.3 |
| Georgie Hunt | Green | 3,042 | 5.8 |
| Chan Abraham | Other | 1,123 | 2.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- North West Cambridgeshire Conservative, toss-up
- St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- Peterborough Conservative, toss-up
- North Bedfordshire Conservative, safe seat
- Bedford Labour, safe seat
- Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated