Faversham and Mid Kent
Westminster constituency · England · South East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a 75% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.9 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 98%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faversham and Mid Kent | 30.0% | 28.7% | 19.7% | 11.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 23.1%+7.0 | 20.4%+8.3 | 24.3%−4.5 | 10.4%+1.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 101,852 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 42 |
| Employment rate | 83.3% |
Current member
Helen Whately · Conservative
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 3.2 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 1.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Whately Elected | Conservative | 14,816 | 31.8 |
| Mel Dawkins | Labour | 13,347 | 28.7 |
| Maxwell Harrison | Reform UK | 9,884 | 21.2 |
| Hannah Temple | Green | 4,218 | 9.1 |
| Hannah Perkin | Lib Dems | 4,158 | 8.9 |
| Lawrence Rustem | Other | 171 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Sittingbourne and Sheppey Reform UK, safe seat
- Gillingham and Rainham Reform UK, toss-up
- Southend East and Rochford Reform UK, toss-up
- Weald of Kent Conservative, safe seat
- Southend West and Leigh Reform UK, toss-up
- Rochester and Strood Reform UK, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated