Cramlington and Killingworth
Westminster constituency · England · North East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 36%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cramlington and Killingworth | 36.5% | 30.4% | 16.3% | 8.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+12.2 | 23.1%+7.4 | 20.4%−4.1 | 10.4%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 98,057 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 71.2% |
Current member
Emma Foody · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 28.2 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 6.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Foody Elected | Labour | 22,274 | 49.1 |
| Gordon Fletcher | Reform UK | 9,454 | 20.8 |
| Ian Levy | Conservative | 8,592 | 18.9 |
| Ian Jones | Green | 2,144 | 4.7 |
| Thom Campion | Lib Dems | 1,898 | 4.2 |
| Scott Lee | Other | 573 | 1.3 |
| Dawn Furness | Other | 322 | 0.7 |
| Mathew Wilkinson | Other | 137 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour, safe seat
- Blyth and Ashington Labour, toss-up
- Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour, toss-up
- Tynemouth Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated