Cambridge
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Lib Dems | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge | 37.6% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 10.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+13.3 | 10.4%+11.1 | 10.3%+7.6 | 20.4%−9.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 125,429 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 31 |
| Employment rate | 75.6% |
Current member
Daniel Zeichner · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 26.3 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 16.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Zeichner Elected | Labour | 19,614 | 46.6 |
| Cheney Payne | Lib Dems | 8,536 | 20.3 |
| Sarah Nicmanis | Green | 6,842 | 16.3 |
| Shane Manning | Conservative | 5,073 | 12.1 |
| Khalid Abu-Tayyem | Other | 951 | 2.3 |
| David Carmona | Other | 819 | 2.0 |
| Keith Garrett | Other | 265 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ely and East Cambridgeshire Lib Dems, toss-up
- South Cambridgeshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Lib Dems, safe seat
- North East Cambridgeshire Reform UK, toss-up
- North East Hertfordshire Conservative, toss-up
- North West Essex Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated