Blaydon and Consett
Westminster constituency · England · North East
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 24%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaydon and Consett | 38.7% | 32.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 24.3%+14.4 | 23.1%+9.0 | 20.4%−7.7 | 10.4%−1.4 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 92,199 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 44 |
| Employment rate | 77.4% |
Current member
Liz Twist · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 26.4 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 6.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Twist Elected | Labour | 21,160 | 50.1 |
| David Ayre | Reform UK | 10,007 | 23.7 |
| Angela Sterling | Conservative | 6,052 | 14.3 |
| Richard Simpson | Green | 2,589 | 6.1 |
| Vicky Anderson | Lib Dems | 2,273 | 5.4 |
| Paul Topping | Other | 135 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- North Durham Reform UK, toss-up
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour, safe seat
- Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour, safe seat
- City of Durham Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated