Northwest Territories
Federal riding · Northwest Territories · The North
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Territories | 54.4% | 23.6% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageNorthwest Territories | 54.4% | 23.6% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+7.4 | 30.4%−6.8 | 11.8%−2.9 | 2.4%−0.8 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Rebecca Alty · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 20.0 points, with 54.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 30.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Alty Elected | Liberal | 8,855 | 52.9 | Mayor |
| Kimberly Fairman | Conservative | 5,513 | 32.9 | Health Policy Researcher |
| Kelvin Kotchilea | NDP | 2,011 | 12.0 | Public Servant |
| Rainbow Eyes | Green | 170 | 1.0 | Band Councillor |
| Other candidates | 200 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yukon Liberal, safe seat
- Nunavut Liberal, safe seat
- Peace River—Westlock Conservative, safe seat
- Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Conservative, safe seat
- Grande Prairie Conservative, safe seat
- Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated