Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies

Federal riding · British Columbia · Northern B.C.

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 40.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 62.0%
  • Liberal 21.5%
  • Green 2.3%
  • PPC 2.2%
  • NDP 1.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Liberal Green PPC
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies 62.0%21.5%2.3%2.2%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 32.9%+29.1 46.7%−25.2 2.9%−0.6 1.5%+0.7
National averageCanada 30.4%+31.6 47.0%−25.5 2.4%−0.1 2.1%

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • French 0.2%
  • English 95.1%
  • Other languages 4.7%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Bob Zimmer · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Conservative Party won by 51.2 points, with 66.7% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 40.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Bob Zimmer Elected Conservative 41,956 70.7 Parliamentarian
Peter Njenga Liberal 11,545 19.4 Realtor
Cory Grizz Longley NDP 3,542 6.0 Facilities Maintenance
Mary Forbes Green 1,259 2.1 School Trustee
David Watson PPC 690 1.2 Postmaster
Other candidates 368 0.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal66%1.2-point gap
  2. Niagara WestConservative53%1.2-point gap
  3. Windsor WestConservative56%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated