Peace River—Westlock
Federal riding · Alberta · Rural Alberta
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 35.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peace River—Westlock | 54.3% | 18.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 42.7%+11.6 | 41.0%−22.1 | 5.9%−2.7 | 1.8%−0.8 |
| National averageCanada | 30.4%+23.9 | 47.0%−28.1 | 11.8%−8.6 | 2.1%−1.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Arnold Viersen · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 64.8 points, with 65.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 35.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold Viersen Elected | Conservative | 41,130 | 76.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Luke Markowski | Liberal | 6,278 | 11.7 | Student |
| Darrell Teske | Independent | 3,048 | 5.7 | Home Builder |
| Landen Tischer | NDP | 2,913 | 5.4 | Farmer |
| Other candidates | 256 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Grande Prairie Conservative, safe seat
- Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Conservative, safe seat
- St. Albert—Sturgeon River Liberal, toss-up
- Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Conservative, safe seat
- Parkland Conservative, safe seat
- Edmonton Manning Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated