Vancouver Kingsway
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 56%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Kingsway | 41.9% | 37.3% | 16.0% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%−4.7 | 9.2%+28.1 | 32.9%−16.9 | 1.5%+0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%−5.1 | 11.8%+25.5 | 30.4%−14.4 | 2.1%−0.5 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Don Davies · NDP
Previous election (2025)
The NDP won by 0.6 points, with 63.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 4.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davies Elected | NDP | 18,788 | 37.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Amy K. Gill | Liberal | 18,485 | 36.4 | CFO |
| Ravinder Bhatia | Conservative | 12,352 | 24.3 | Businessman |
| Imtiaz Popat | Green | 499 | 1.0 | Mental Health Worker |
| Fiona Wang | PPC | 322 | 0.6 | Legal Assistant |
| Other candidates | 332 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vancouver East NDP, toss-up
- Vancouver Granville Liberal, safe seat
- Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Liberal, safe seat
- Burnaby Central Liberal, safe seat
- Vancouver Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Vancouver Quadra Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated