Burnaby Central
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnaby Central | 50.1% | 30.0% | 12.6% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+3.4 | 32.9%−2.9 | 9.2%+3.4 | 1.5%+0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+3.1 | 30.4%−0.4 | 11.8%+0.8 | 2.1%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Wade Chang · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 3.6 points, with 61.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 20.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Chang Elected | Liberal | 21,745 | 41.9 | Lawyer |
| James Yan | Conservative | 19,889 | 38.3 | Manager |
| Jagmeet Singh | NDP | 9,353 | 18.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Richard Farbridge | PPC | 506 | 1.0 | Civil Engineer |
| Other candidates | 429 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Liberal, safe seat
- New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Liberal, safe seat
- Vancouver Kingsway Liberal, toss-up
- Vancouver East NDP, toss-up
- Port Moody—Coquitlam Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Centre Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated