Port Moody—Coquitlam
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Moody—Coquitlam | 51.0% | 31.8% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+4.4 | 32.9%−1.1 | 9.2%−0.4 | 1.5%−0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+4.0 | 30.4%+1.4 | 11.8%−3.0 | 2.1%−1.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Zoe Royer · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 3.1 points, with 70.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 19.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe Royer Elected | Liberal | 27,074 | 43.3 | School Trustee |
| Paul Lambert | Conservative | 25,126 | 40.1 | Business Consultant |
| Bonita Zarrillo | NDP | 9,360 | 15.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Nash Milani | Green | 519 | 0.8 | Recreation Clerk |
| Roland Verrier | Other | 117 | 0.2 | Electrician |
| Other candidates | 403 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Burnaby North—Seymour Liberal, safe seat
- Burnaby Central Liberal, safe seat
- New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Vancouver East NDP, toss-up
- Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated