Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge | 49.7% | 39.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+3.0 | 32.9%+6.2 | 9.2%−7.6 | 1.5%+0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+2.7 | 30.4%+8.6 | 11.8%−10.2 | 2.1%−0.6 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Marc Dalton · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 1.8 points, with 72.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 10.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Dalton Elected | Conservative | 31,924 | 47.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Angie Rowell | Liberal | 30,728 | 45.4 | Account Manager |
| Daniel Heydenrych | NDP | 4,141 | 6.1 | Security Consultant |
| Chris Lehner | PPC | 368 | 0.5 | Database Systems Administrator |
| Peter Buddle | Other | 172 | 0.3 | Retired Teacher |
| Other candidates | 317 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Liberal, safe seat
- Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford Conservative, safe seat
- Port Moody—Coquitlam Liberal, safe seat
- Langley Township—Fraser Heights Liberal, toss-up
- North Vancouver—Capilano Liberal, safe seat
- Fleetwood—Port Kells Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated