Langley Township—Fraser Heights
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 68%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langley Township—Fraser Heights | 46.9% | 42.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+0.3 | 32.9%+10.0 | 1.5% | 9.2%−8.0 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%−0.1 | 30.4%+12.5 | 2.1%−0.6 | 11.8%−10.7 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Tako Van Popta · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 8.4 points, with 70.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 4.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tako Van Popta Elected | Conservative | 33,574 | 51.1 | Parliamentarian |
| John Aldag | Liberal | 28,034 | 42.6 | Former Parliamentarian |
| Holly Isaac | NDP | 2,611 | 4.0 | Relief Postal Worker |
| Debora Soutar | Green | 491 | 0.7 | Retired |
| Alex Joehl | Other | 347 | 0.5 | Meat Department Manager |
| Sepehr Haghighat | PPC | 303 | 0.5 | Biologist |
| Other candidates | 394 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Abbotsford—South Langley Liberal, toss-up
- Fleetwood—Port Kells Liberal, safe seat
- Cloverdale—Langley City Liberal, safe seat
- South Surrey—White Rock Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Newton Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Centre Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated