Cloverdale—Langley City
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloverdale—Langley City | 50.3% | 39.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+3.7 | 32.9%+6.5 | 1.5%+0.1 | 9.2%−8.0 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+3.3 | 30.4%+8.9 | 2.1%−0.6 | 11.8%−10.6 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Tamara Jansen · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 1.4 points, with 64.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 11.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamara Jansen Elected | Conservative | 25,606 | 47.5 | Retired |
| Kyle Latchford | Liberal | 24,828 | 46.0 | Senior Advisor |
| Vanessa Sharma | NDP | 2,350 | 4.4 | Unemployed |
| Kevin Daniel Wilkie | Green | 493 | 0.9 | Business Development |
| Jim McMurtry | PPC | 289 | 0.5 | Teacher |
| Other candidates | 353 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Fleetwood—Port Kells Liberal, safe seat
- South Surrey—White Rock Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Newton Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Langley Township—Fraser Heights Liberal, toss-up
- New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated