Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam
Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam | 52.7% | 34.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 46.7%+6.0 | 32.9%+1.6 | 9.2%−7.0 | 1.5%−0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+5.7 | 30.4%+4.1 | 11.8%−9.6 | 2.1%−1.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Ron McKinnon · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Liberal Party won by 4.4 points, with 69.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 18.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron McKinnon Elected | Liberal | 27,250 | 47.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Iain Black | Conservative | 24,730 | 42.8 | Businessman |
| Laura Dupont | NDP | 4,253 | 7.4 | Unemployed |
| Lewis Clarke Dahlby | Other | 785 | 1.4 | Business Owner |
| Michael Peter Glenister | Green | 504 | 0.9 | Educator |
| Other candidates | 285 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Port Moody—Coquitlam Liberal, safe seat
- North Vancouver—Capilano Liberal, safe seat
- Burnaby North—Seymour Liberal, safe seat
- Burnaby Central Liberal, safe seat
- Surrey Centre Liberal, safe seat
- New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated