Leduc—Wetaskiwin
Federal riding · Alberta · Rural Alberta
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leduc—Wetaskiwin | 51.9% | 24.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 42.7%+9.2 | 41.0%−16.9 | 5.9%−2.5 | 1.8%+0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 30.4%+21.5 | 47.0%−22.9 | 11.8%−8.4 | 2.1%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Mike Lake · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 57.1 points, with 71.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 27.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Lake Elected | Conservative | 47,947 | 74.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Ronald Brochu | Liberal | 11,136 | 17.3 | Accountant |
| Katherine Swampy | NDP | 3,927 | 6.1 | Business Development |
| Jose Flores | PPC | 688 | 1.1 | Salesperson |
| Kirk Cayer | Other | 318 | 0.5 | Communications |
| Christopher Everingham | Other | 145 | 0.2 | Peace Officer |
| Other candidates | 345 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton Riverbend Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Gateway Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton West Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Southeast Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Strathcona NDP, safe seat
- Edmonton Centre Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated