Edmonton Southeast

Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Liberal	Conservative	NDP	PPC
Edmonton Southeast	55.7%	34.7%	4.1%	2.7%
Provincial averageAlberta	41.0%+14.7	42.7%−8.0	5.9%−1.7	1.8%+0.9
National averageCanada	47.0%+8.7	30.4%+4.3	11.8%−7.7	2.1%+0.6

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	English 63.5% Other languages (French included) 36.5%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Jagsharan Singh Mahal · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Conservative Party won by 14.0 points, with 66.6% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 21.0 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Jagsharan Singh Mahal Elected	Conservative	25,206	52.4	Lawyer
Amarjeet Sohi	Liberal	18,481	38.4	Municipal Politician
Harpreet Grewal	NDP	2,536	5.3	Licensed Practical Nurse
Martin Schuetza	PPC	881	1.8	Laser Practitioner
Gurleen Chandi	Independent	292	0.6	Managing Consultant
Corinne Benson	Other	268	0.6	Retired Child Care Worker
Other candidates		448	0.9

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.