Edmonton Strathcona

Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	NDP	Liberal	Conservative	Green
Edmonton Strathcona	49.5%	35.1%	15.3%	1.6%
Provincial averageAlberta	5.9%+43.6	41.0%−5.9	42.7%−27.4	1.4%+0.2
National averageCanada	11.8%+37.7	47.0%−11.9	30.4%−15.1	2.4%−0.8

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	French 1.6% English 88.1% Other languages 10.3%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Heather McPherson · NDP

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The NDP won by 13.8 points, with 72.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 14.4 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Heather McPherson Elected	NDP	28,027	46.7	Parliamentarian
Miles Berry	Conservative	19,768	32.9	Registered Nurse
Ron Thiering	Liberal	10,709	17.8	Self-Employed
David Joel Wojtowicz	PPC	386	0.6	Student
Atul Deshmukh	Green	366	0.6	Project Manager
Graham Lettner	Independent	250	0.4	Self-Employed
Christian Bourque	Other	181	0.3	Industrial landscaper
Other candidates		367	0.6

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.