Edmonton Riverbend
Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Riverbend | 61.8% | 32.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 41.0%+20.8 | 42.7%−10.5 | 5.9%−2.0 | 1.8%−0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+14.8 | 30.4%+1.8 | 11.8%−7.9 | 2.1%−0.5 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Matt Jeneroux · Liberal
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 5.4 points, with 70.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 29.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jeneroux Elected | Conservative | 30,343 | 49.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Mark Minenko | Liberal | 27,075 | 44.5 | Lawyer |
| Susan Cake | NDP | 2,563 | 4.2 | Post-Secondary Professor |
| Dwayne Dudiak | PPC | 410 | 0.7 | Automotive Technician |
| Other candidates | 429 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton West Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Gateway Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Southeast Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Strathcona NDP, safe seat
- Edmonton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Northwest Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated