Edmonton Northwest
Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Northwest | 55.3% | 35.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 41.0%+14.3 | 42.7%−7.3 | 5.9%−1.4 | 1.8%+0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+8.3 | 30.4%+5.0 | 11.8%−7.4 | 2.1%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Billy Morin · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 15.1 points, with 64.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 19.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Morin Elected | Conservative | 29,194 | 53.1 | Consultant |
| Lindsey Machona | Liberal | 20,907 | 38.0 | Executive Director |
| Omar Abubakar | NDP | 3,597 | 6.5 | Non-Profit Co-Founder |
| Albert Carson | PPC | 593 | 1.1 | Senior Project Manager |
| Colleen Rice | Green | 335 | 0.6 | Business Owner |
| Other candidates | 353 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Griesbach NDP, toss-up
- Edmonton West Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Strathcona NDP, safe seat
- Edmonton Riverbend Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Manning Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated