Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Calgary Skyview

Federal riding · Alberta · Calgary

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 54.6%
  • Conservative 37.4%
  • NDP 3.5%
  • PPC 1.0%
  • Green 1.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
Calgary Skyview 54.6%37.4%3.5%1.0%
Provincial averageAlberta 41.0%+13.6 42.7%−5.3 5.9%−2.4 1.8%−0.8
National averageCanada 47.0%+7.6 30.4%+7.0 11.8%−8.3 2.1%−1.1

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • English 63.0%
  • Other languages (French included) 37.0%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Amanpreet Gill · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Conservative Party won by 17.8 points, with 61.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 17.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amanpreet S. Gill Elected Conservative 27,808 55.1 Small Business Owner
Hafeez Malik Liberal 18,842 37.3 Businessman
Rajesh Angral NDP 1,351 2.7 Self-Employed
Minesh Patel Independent 1,002 2.0 Mechanic
Scott Calverley Independent 620 1.2 General Contractor
Jag Anand Independent 529 1.0 Ophthalmologist
Other candidates 362 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal66%1.2-point gap
  2. Niagara WestConservative53%1.2-point gap
  3. Windsor WestConservative56%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated