Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Saskatoon West

Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Regina and Saskatoon

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a 85% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 87%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 40.0%
  • Liberal 37.6%
  • NDP 13.1%
  • Green 1.8%
  • PPC 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
Saskatoon West 40.0%37.6%13.1%1.8%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 48.4%−8.5 34.9%+2.6 3.1%+10.0 1.3%+0.5
National averageCanada 30.4%+9.6 47.0%−9.4 11.8%+1.3 2.4%−0.6

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • English 85.7%
  • Other languages (French included) 14.3%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Brad Redekopp · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Conservative Party won by 25.1 points, with 59.1% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 2.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Brad Redekopp Elected Conservative 19,814 52.1 Businessman
Chad Eggerman Liberal 10,254 27.0 Lawyer
Rachel Loewen Walker NDP 7,187 18.9 Professor
Naomi Hunter Green 376 1.0 Farmer
Other candidates 392 1.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal66%1.2-point gap
  2. Niagara WestConservative53%1.2-point gap
  3. Windsor WestConservative56%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated