Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake
Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Rural Saskatchewan
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake | 59.8% | 22.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 48.4%+11.4 | 34.9%−12.1 | 3.1%−1.5 | 1.7%−0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 30.4%+29.4 | 47.0%−24.2 | 11.8%−10.1 | 2.1%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Rosemarie Falk · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 56.6 points, with 63.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 37.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosemarie Falk Elected | Conservative | 28,634 | 75.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Larry Ingram | Liberal | 7,073 | 18.6 | Retired Sheet Metal Worker |
| William Petryk | NDP | 1,816 | 4.8 | Accountant |
| Darrell Patan | Other | 264 | 0.7 | Sole Proprietor |
| Other candidates | 290 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek Conservative, safe seat
- Saskatoon West Conservative, toss-up
- Saskatoon—University Liberal, safe seat
- Saskatoon South Liberal, safe seat
- Prince Albert Conservative, safe seat
- Lakeland Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated