Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Prince Albert

Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Regina and Saskatoon

Forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservative Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 55.4%
  • Liberal 23.2%
  • NDP 2.8%
  • PPC 1.2%
  • Green 0.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
Prince Albert 55.4%23.2%2.8%1.2%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 48.4%+7.0 34.9%−11.7 3.1%−0.3 1.7%−0.4
National averageCanada 30.4%+25.0 47.0%−23.8 11.8%−9.0 2.1%−0.9

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • French 0.4%
  • English 95.5%
  • Other languages 4.1%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Randy Hoback · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Conservative Party won by 51.8 points, with 61.7% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservative Party ahead by 32.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Randy Hoback Elected Conservative 27,763 70.8 Parliamentarian
Christopher Hadubiak Liberal 7,451 19.0 Senior Field Organizer
Virginia Kutzan NDP 3,630 9.3 Retired
Other candidates 347 0.9

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal66%1.2-point gap
  2. Niagara WestConservative53%1.2-point gap
  3. Windsor WestConservative56%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated