Regina—Wascana
Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Regina and Saskatoon
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina—Wascana | 54.0% | 37.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 34.9%+19.1 | 48.4%−10.8 | 3.1%−1.2 | 1.7%+0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+7.0 | 30.4%+7.2 | 11.8%−9.9 | 2.1%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Michael Kram · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 6.4 points, with 69.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 16.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kram Elected | Conservative | 22,072 | 49.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Jeffrey Walters | Liberal | 19,252 | 43.4 | Sessional Lecturer, University of Regina |
| Kaitlyn Stadnyk | NDP | 2,138 | 4.8 | Carpenter |
| Peter Bruce | PPC | 326 | 0.7 | Retired |
| Kimberly Epp | Green | 289 | 0.7 | Unemployed |
| Other candidates | 298 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Regina—Lewvan Liberal, safe seat
- Regina—Qu'Appelle Conservative, safe seat
- Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan Conservative, safe seat
- Souris—Moose Mountain Conservative, safe seat
- Yorkton—Melville Conservative, safe seat
- Saskatoon South Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated