Regina—Lewvan
Federal riding · Saskatchewan · Regina and Saskatoon
Forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina—Lewvan | 53.3% | 37.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 34.9%+18.4 | 48.4%−10.9 | 3.1%−1.0 | 1.7%+0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 47.0%+6.3 | 30.4%+7.1 | 11.8%−9.6 | 2.1%−0.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Warren Steinley · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 7.0 points, with 71.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 15.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Steinley Elected | Conservative | 21,988 | 49.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Mac Hird | Liberal | 18,893 | 42.7 | Business Development |
| Ray Aldinger | NDP | 2,573 | 5.8 | Youth Correctional Officer |
| Michael Wright | Green | 272 | 0.6 | Teacher |
| Godwin Ezizor | PPC | 243 | 0.5 | Pastor |
| Other candidates | 299 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Regina—Wascana Liberal, safe seat
- Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan Conservative, safe seat
- Regina—Qu'Appelle Conservative, safe seat
- Souris—Moose Mountain Conservative, safe seat
- Yorkton—Melville Conservative, safe seat
- Saskatoon South Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated